Draft Local Plan Review

No

Representation ID: 4872

Received: 17/02/2017

Respondent: St Francis Group

Agent: Pegasus Group

Pegasus Review of SHELAA
SHELAA has a number of flaws, including:
Local planning policy is irrelevant to SHELAA as plan being reviewed.
751dpa figure is less than in the DLP.
Council should do more than just Call for Sites.
Absolute constraints inappropriate.
Scoring system for housing too generalised.
Concern with suitability criteria, e.g. suitability of location is predetermining the plan.
Availability scoring too conservative.
Number of anomalies in the assessments, e.g. LWS
Densities and build out rates too optimistic.
Windfall allowance too generous.
SHELAA provide evidence that sufficient available land in Solihull to meet significant housing needs.

No

Representation ID: 4873

Received: 17/02/2017

Respondent: St Francis Group

Agent: Pegasus Group

Pegasus Review of SHMA:

OAN for wider HMA should be calculated.
Ideally should split Birmingham overspill proportionally between neighbours.
Future projections and migration patterns should not be based on recession.
Should apply 3% vacancy rate.
Should frontload any 2011-2014 shortfall.
Should deliver more housing South of A45 as locus of market pressure.
Should not confuse market signal uplift with HMA shortfall.
Data used in Experian model is out-of-date and outputs too pessimistic in projecting job numbers.
Solihull will continue to have overheated housing market if insufficient housing allocated.

No

Representation ID: 4874

Received: 17/02/2017

Respondent: St Francis Group

Agent: Pegasus Group

Pegasus Review of unmet housing need in HMA and Duty to Co-operate:
Birmingham shortfall of 37,900 dwellings.
Policy TP48 in Birmingham Development Plan places responsibility on Birmingham to ensure unmet housing needs arising in the City are met by other LPAs in the HMA.
Test of effectiveness of Duty to Cooperate.
GBHMA Strategic Growth Study to be commissioned.
Democratic deficit in process of how Study's findings will be published, considered and included in Local Plans.
Council need to be clear about weight of Study in progressing Local Plan.
Lack of credible evidence to support 2,000 contribution.
OAN is underestimated.

No

Representation ID: 4876

Received: 17/02/2017

Respondent: St Francis Group

Agent: Pegasus Group

Pegasus Chelmer Model for Solihull.
Inputs in model include:
Household formation rates used in the DCLG 2014-based household projections.
Labour market activity rates
Unemployment rates from Annual population survey
Adjustments to above for Solihull
3% vacancy rates

Scenario 1 is just the demographic projection and is similar to PBA SHMA.
Scenarios 2 and 2a include Cambridge Econometrics future workplace projections. Markedly different results from Experian model and Scenarios 2 and 2a increase households by ca. 12k and 8K respectively.
Policy off, therefore does not include 2011-2014 shortfall, any other uplifts or HMA contribution.