No

Representation ID: 4876

Received: 17/02/2017

Respondent: St Francis Group

Agent: Pegasus Group

Pegasus Chelmer Model for Solihull.
Inputs in model include:
Household formation rates used in the DCLG 2014-based household projections.
Labour market activity rates
Unemployment rates from Annual population survey
Adjustments to above for Solihull
3% vacancy rates

Scenario 1 is just the demographic projection and is similar to PBA SHMA.
Scenarios 2 and 2a include Cambridge Econometrics future workplace projections. Markedly different results from Experian model and Scenarios 2 and 2a increase households by ca. 12k and 8K respectively.
Policy off, therefore does not include 2011-2014 shortfall, any other uplifts or HMA contribution.