Object

Representation ID: 15037

Received: 14/12/2020

Respondent: Barratt David Wilson - Arden Green

Agent: Barton Willmore Planning

Legally compliant? Not specified

Sound? No

Duty to co-operate? Not specified

GBBCHMA Unmet Housing Need:
o Barton Willmore analysis of unmet need in wider GBCCHMA suggests that 2020 Position Statement’s conclusions under-estimate the remaining unmet housing need from Birmingham up to 2031; Birmingham’s deficit alone is between 11,924 – 13,101 dwellings up to 2031.
o Furthermore, if using the current standard methodology, then significant unmet need from Birmingham City and Black Country between 25,543 and 27,350 dwellings up to 2031.
o If we were to assume the increased capacity for Birmingham City (65,400 dwellings 2011-2031) set out in the 2020 Position Statement the unmet need would still be between 11,243 and 13,050 dwellings up to 2031.
- This increases significantly based on the uncapped Standard Method figure for Birmingham City which would come into effect in January 2022.
o Taking into consideration the proposed changes to Standard Method (consulted on by Government in summer 2020), this would lead to there being unmet need against emerging/existing housing requirements in all but one of the GBBCHMA authorities;
o Unmet need post 2031 should be considered, as referenced to in the 2020 Position Statement. Based on data available at the present time and the most recent Local Plan figures, Barton Willmore calculate this to be a minimum 17,700 dwellings 2031-2040.